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Toyota Avalon cars for sale
S tephen Zoepf, executive director of the Center for Automotive Research at Stanford, has a wager with a friend over the future of driverless cars. His friend is the bullish one. Oh, and the loser pays for the trip to Las Vegas. Most likely it will be a combination of the two. Bold predictions abound.
Disruption may be too mild a descriptor for what is happening to our means of transportation. How we get from here to there is not merely a convenience, but rather has the potential to affect poverty levels, social standing, our daily human interactions, cultural norms and even life span, according to Stanford scientists and researchers.
On the one hand, self-driving cars could democratize transportation, making independent travel possible for many who lack it, including people who are blind, disabled, young, old or poor. Prognosticators also expect reductions in pollution, traffic, collisions and the cost of getting around, and an increase in green space as the demand for parking lots declines.
But skeptics worry that the adoption of driverless cars will eliminate too many jobs and give hackers a new way to attack, even possibly turning cars into lethal weapons. As the debate unfolds, autonomous vehicles are hitting the road in droves. Ready or not, say experts, here they come. Through the center and at its research site, the Volkswagen Automotive Innovation Lab VAIL , aerospace and mechanical engineers, philosophers, artificial intelligence experts, neuroscientists, psychologists, designers and ethicists come together to study and help create the vehicles and transportation systems of the future.
Photo: Toni Gauthier. On the north side of campus amid coast live oaks, the VAIL facility is both serene and futuristic. Each occupies a bay. Nondescript customized test cars come and go from outdoor parking spaces. The fleet is always growing, as projects expand and multiply. Shelley, an autonomous Audi. We are providing multiple transportation solutions for everybody. In the back room of VAIL is a door that opens to the simulation theater, home to a matte black Toyota Avalon surrounded by degree floor-to-ceiling screens.
Most of the time, the theater is run by students who program a wall of computers that dictate what happens. It is here that undergraduates, graduate students and volunteers test out scenarios that an autonomous vehicle might encounter on the road. As we begin to drive, cars speed past in the opposite lanes. High rises, trees and street signs mark the roadway. The brain knows this is virtual reality, but the experience is immersive. How quickly can the passenger take over driving in an emergency?
What types of distractions cause the most problems if the rider is required to react? Why do people get so sleepy in the simulator, and what can designers do to counteract inattention? Photos: Toni Gauthier. We need to understand how people are going to interact around autonomous vehicles so that they are safe and effective.
The Wizard of Oz experiment, as Ju and her co-authors called it, allowed them to videotape pedestrians as they interacted with the seemingly driverless cars. The researchers also administered follow-up questionnaires to glean reactions from walkers and cyclists who interacted with the car.
A few whip out cell phones to snap a photo. When the car behaves as it should, stopping fully and waiting for pedestrians to cross, all goes smoothly. When the car inches forward as the pedestrian enters the street, confusion ensues — the walker might stop and start, pass behind the car, or make an otherwise unpredictable move.
Also that year, Uber was the first to put driverless cars to passenger road tests in an experiment in Pittsburgh. Still, the public is expressing uncertainty about the concept and a deep skepticism about the trustworthiness of completely driverless driving. A Pew Research Center poll reported that nearly six in 10 Americans say they would not want to ride in a driverless vehicle, and 87 percent of Americans believe every driverless car should have a human capable of taking over in an emergency.
It is that I still get to express my opinion. The biggest challenge here is that driving is so open-ended, says Gerdes. What if the car makes a bad decision and hits a pedestrian? What if, as happened recently, a self-driving car gets confused because there is graffiti on a stop sign and it can no longer interpret the sign?
What if hackers break into the satellite system that downloads updates to your car? He is quick to add that he also loves to get behind the wheel of the self-driving DeLorean his team uses to test high-speed autonomous maneuvers. What is the acceptable level of risk for autonomous vehicles, and who is responsible for bad outcomes?
Assessing human tolerance for error and accepting the outcome of a car programmed to act in a way that may lead to injury are just a couple of the issues facing researchers today. One night last fall, a crowded room of aspiring entrepreneurs gathered in a basement classroom on campus for BUS The Business of Self-Driving Cars, a course in which students build out business plans and present them to a judging panel.
A video showed a delighted elderly woman who is legally blind using the Voyage app to summon a taxi that picks her up and gently transports her to her destination within the mile campus of 4, residents. It has been a community that wanted to adopt it. The true test will be breaking out of those communities into the rest of the world.
Although driverless vehicles are expected to greatly decrease traffic fatalities, they will sometimes have to decide between bad options.
Would your car swerve to miss a cyclist at the risk of hitting another vehicle head-on? Would it protect its own occupant at a greater risk to others? But they personally would not buy or ride in such a vehicle. Jason Millar, a postdoctoral research fellow in engineering and ethics, is one of a dozen scientists and researchers from across Stanford tackling some of the prickliest questions keeping automakers up at night.
The set of criteria you use is negotiable. It can be contentious. That is where some of the interesting ethical questions arise.
Millar wants to equip engineers to make some of the most important decisions about safety in the design room. He predicts engineering ethics will become an important new field. As director of the Stanford Intelligent Systems Laboratory, he develops advanced algorithms and analytical methods for use in air traffic control, unmanned aircraft and other applications in which decisions must be made in uncertain, dynamic environments while maintaining safety and efficiency.
On a recent trip to Boston, he found himself at an intersection that took all his cognitive abilities to figure out how to navigate safely. In that moment, he could not imagine a driverless car being able to handle it. For example, on a two-lane road, an approaching truck can plow into a car in less than a second. Regulators — another key part of the safety puzzle — also have a ways to go in adapting laws and policy to autonomous driving.
As of early January, 27 states had passed legislation or issued executive orders related to autonomous vehicles, according to the National Conference of State Legislators. While many of these laws have eased the deployment of self-driving vehicles, legislatures have yet to resolve how they will handle fundamental issues such as liability, insurance and safety inspections.
At press time, a House bill seeking to consolidate power under the U. Now there are bills in the House and the Senate that include provisions allowing for up to , vehicles per manufacturer per year on public roads. Imagine you summon a ride using an app on your phone and an electric pod vehicle arrives, the door pops open, and you get into your compartment.
This part has already occurred in road tests. Not only could your vehicle get you where you are going, but it also could potentially pick up your dry cleaning while you are at work or the gym, drop your teens at the mall, transport many other passengers, and be back to collect you at the end of the day.
As commuting via driverless vehicle becomes cheaper, consumers will no longer need to hang on to their individual cars. As the costs of transportation decline, many more people will be able to commute affordably to work and fulfill the responsibilities of daily life, from grocery shopping and dropping the kids at school to visiting the doctor or showing up for jury duty.
Driverless cars are also expected to have profound effects on a broad range of industries, from insurance companies to fee-based parking lots, gas stations to car mechanics, auto parts stores to professional drivers.
The trucking industry could be hit hardest. According to the American Trucking Association, some 3. Automation presents a clear threat to that livelihood: As of , truck, delivery and tractor driving was the most common job in 29 states. Modern vehicles are also expected to collect loads of timely data for advertisers. Starbucks on your way to work? Need to stop at the neighborhood drugstore? Your car will connect you to commerce.
Infinity pool for the car, anyone? So what about those endless parking lots where your car sits most of the time? They will become obsolete. Today, cars are parked 95 percent of the time, according to Paul Barter, a transportation policy scholar from the National University of Singapore who writes the blog Reinventing Urban Transportation. Already, some cities are creating parklets of green space instead. In the short term, the biggest winners are likely to be ride-sharing companies like Uber and Lyft, which will be able to stop paying drivers.
The losers will be those who make a living driving. Our attachment to our automobiles is historic and powerful. A symbol of freedom and independence, the car represents much more than a necessity to many Americans. It will be difficult to force people to give up their cars.
Reilly Brennan, a Stanford lecturer and a founding partner at Trucks, a venture capital fund that invests in transportation start-ups, agrees. For the past 70 years, the car has been the physical embodiment of independence. But the vision of freedom will adapt, Brennan says. Take, for example, the great American road trip, a mainstay of family vacations. Will autonomous vehicles put an end to such adventures?
Far from it, say those in the industry.
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Model Avalon. General Terms All of the vehicles we list on eBay are for sale locally. We reserve the right to end an auction early. All cars are immediately ready for delivery upon sale.
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